CAS & the Oscars

Cinema Audio Society

CAS                                                    Oscar Sound Mixing
Inception                                              Inception
The Social Network                             The Social Network
True Grit                                              True Grit
Shutter Island                                       The King’s Speech
Black Swan                                          Salt
CONCLUSION – Inception, True Grit, The Social Network
1 – Statistics
53% of the time CAS and Oscar Sound Mix match.
Have matched the last 2 years in a row and 3 of the last 4.
The last 2 years the CAS winner has also won Best Picture. 
CONCLUSION – True Grit, Inception
2 – Precursors
There have been very little awards organizations to give out Sound awards, but Inception has won all of them.
CONCLUSION – Inception
3 – Genre
Very rarely does a non-action, thriller, war, musical, crime, period, epic film win this award.  In the last 17 years, only 3 films have won CAS.  However, those 3 films also won Oscar Sound Mix and Best Picture: 
            – 2008 – Slumdog Millionaire
            – 1997 – Titanic
            – 1996 – The Enlgish Patient
The majority of the Sound Mix winners are action-oriented.  There are a select few that are not.  Musicals, Epic Dramas or Romances tend to be the only other films that win.  The King’s Speech is favored to win Best Picture, but I don’t think it’s action-packed enough to win CAS or Oscar Sound Mixing. 
PREDICTION – Inception
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