71% of all films nominated for Best Visual Effects Oscar are also nominated for VES.
– 3-4 of the VES nominees will also be nominated for an Oscar
– 1-2 films will be nominated for an Oscar that are not VES-nominated
Below is the shortlist of 10 films from which the Academy will nominate 5 films:
Visual Effects Oscar Shortlist
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
The Amazing Spider-Man
The Dark Knight Rises
Snow White and the Huntsman
As you can see, Battleship is not on the Oscar shortlist for Visual Effects, so there’s 1 that will not be nominated.
The Hobbit and Life of Pi are locks with Prometheus and The Avengers being likely. I wasn’t a fan of the Spider-man or John Carter effects and I don’t believe that the Snow White and Skyfall effects were flashy or evident enough. It seems to be down to Cloud Atlas and The Dark Knight Rises. This is a good category to reward Nolan’s Batman trilogy with, if not for sound.
Visual Effects Oscar Nominee Prediction
1) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
2) Life of Pi
4) The Avengers
5) The Dark Knight Rises